Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.442772 0.486053 0.532433 0.585951 0.646148 0.711933 0.789490
2025-11-09 0.364669 0.423333 0.490638 0.574060 0.675363 0.795255 0.949167
2025-11-16 0.326643 0.393672 0.474210 0.579107 0.713583 0.882198 1.112816
2025-11-23 0.295238 0.366305 0.454834 0.574758 0.735368 0.946525 1.251077
2025-11-30 0.273660 0.348080 0.443715 0.577789 0.764429 1.020491 1.408184
2025-12-07 0.252028 0.327309 0.426617 0.569967 0.776286 1.070072 1.534471
2025-12-14 0.233872 0.309378 0.411331 0.562411 0.786537 1.116773 1.660179
2025-12-21 0.214570 0.288263 0.389736 0.543493 0.777582 1.132855 1.738423
2025-12-28 0.206315 0.281857 0.388121 0.553126 0.811663 1.217262 1.936800
2026-01-04 0.198218 0.274987 0.385122 0.560066 0.841654 1.297494 2.137781
2026-01-11 0.190008 0.267322 0.380258 0.563455 0.865815 1.369953 2.333884
2026-01-18 0.182231 0.259748 0.374900 0.565411 0.887405 1.439653 2.533622
2026-01-25 0.175489 0.253457 0.371274 0.570156 0.914621 1.522999 2.773892
2026-02-01 0.165521 0.241653 0.358317 0.558558 0.912504 1.553216 2.912931
2026-02-08 0.160007 0.236432 0.355395 0.563442 0.939773 1.640477 3.182963
2026-02-15 0.153047 0.228510 0.347579 0.559235 0.949924 1.695725 3.392186
2026-02-22 0.148053 0.223437 0.344065 0.562167 0.973390 1.779361 3.678112
2026-03-01 0.141425 0.215354 0.335056 0.554600 0.976058 1.820898 3.872413
2026-03-08 0.135316 0.207820 0.326539 0.547291 0.978491 1.861998 4.072183
2026-03-15 0.127677 0.197392 0.312548 0.528987 0.957569 1.851048 4.139861
2026-03-22 0.125269 0.195615 0.313362 0.538308 0.993116 1.966863 4.555029
2026-03-29 0.122554 0.193173 0.312851 0.545023 1.023810 2.075346 4.971881
2026-04-05 0.119443 0.189894 0.310660 0.548301 1.047481 2.170373 5.370316